Login | Request Account (DAF staff only)

SOI phases and climatic risk to peanut production: A case study for Northern Australia

Share this record

Add to FacebookAdd to LinkedinAdd to XAdd to WechatAdd to Microsoft_teamsAdd to WhatsappAdd to Any

Export this record

View Altmetrics

Meinke, H., Stone, R. C. and Hammer, G. L. (1996) SOI phases and climatic risk to peanut production: A case study for Northern Australia. International Journal of Climatology, 16 (7). pp. 783-789. ISSN 0899-8418

Full text not currently attached. Access may be available via the Publisher's website or OpenAccess link.

Article Link: https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(199607)16:...


Phases of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) in August/ September are used in conjunction with a dynamic peanut simulation model to quantify climatic risk to peanut production in northern Australia. Specifically, we demonstrate how a simulation model can assist to forward estimate production risk based on historic climate records and known atmospheric conditions prior to planting a crop. The SOI phase analysis provides skill in assessing future rainfall probability distributions during the growing season and thus allows an estimate of likely crop performance. Such knowledge can provide valuable information for producers and processors. For instance, the analysis shows that for negative SOI patterns prior to sowing the expected median yield potential for dryland peanut production in northern Australia is 1ċ25 t ha−1 or 27 per cent below the long- term median. Conversely, a positive SOI pattern shows a median potential yield of 2ċ11 t ha−1, an increase of 23 per cent over the long-term median. Other production variables, such as date and frequency of planting opportunities, also differ significantly depending on SOI patterns.

Item Type:Article
Subjects:Science > Statistics > Simulation modelling
Agriculture > Agriculture (General) > Agricultural meteorology. Crops and climate
Plant culture > Food crops
Live Archive:10 Apr 2024 00:53
Last Modified:10 Apr 2024 00:53

Repository Staff Only: item control page